Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Islam Makhachev 36% |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Lightweight
Arman Tsarukyan 16% |
| RATINGS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 97 | A+ | ||
| A+ | 99 | Power | 98 | A+ | ||
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
98
|
A+
| ||
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
96
|
A
| ||
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 5 |
| 1 | Power | 4 |
| 1 | Offensive | 3 |
| 2 | Defensive | 8 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 (94.1%) | Overall | 8-2 (80%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 1-1 (50%) |
| 15-1 (93.8%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 7-2 (77.8%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 1-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) 2023-10-21 UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Round 1 KO/TKO Kick | Best Win | Lightweight #7 Joel Alvarez (7-2) 2022-02-26 UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green Round 2 KO/TKO Punches |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Lightweight #11 Mateusz Gamrot (8-3) 2022-06-25 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Round 5 U-DEC |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 (64.7%) | Finishes | 4 (40%) |
| 3 (17.6%) | KOs | 4 (40%) |
| 8 (47.1%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 5 (29.4%) | Decisions | 4 (40%) |
| 187-103 | Opponent Record | 99-49 |
| 23.9 | Average Opponent Rank | 31.8 |
| W 15 | Long Streak | W 5 |
| W 15 | Current Streak | W 3 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #32 Renato Moicano (12-7) Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
W 2024-04-13 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 3 S-DEC UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #31 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
W 2023-12-02 Lightweight #17 Beneil Dariush (17-6) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
|
| W 2023-10-21 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
W 2023-06-17 Lightweight #68 Joaquim Silva (6-5) Round 3 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
|
| W 2023-02-11 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |
L 2022-06-25 Lightweight #11 Mateusz Gamrot (8-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2022-02-26 Lightweight #7 Joel Alvarez (7-2) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green |
|